Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.559796 0.636673 0.718990 0.813543 0.919000 1.032845 1.164891
2025-07-27 0.456525 0.565628 0.691308 0.846151 1.031112 1.244244 1.507671
2025-08-03 0.371452 0.498710 0.655596 0.861672 1.123479 1.443075 1.860590
2025-08-10 0.303273 0.439401 0.618269 0.867565 1.202578 1.633290 2.224303
2025-08-17 0.251167 0.391100 0.586289 0.873647 1.280091 1.827577 2.612386
2025-08-24 0.211376 0.352347 0.560308 0.882377 1.359716 2.030327 3.029911
2025-08-31 0.176416 0.314121 0.528473 0.876769 1.416080 2.203880 3.420999
2025-09-07 0.153175 0.289943 0.513620 0.893288 1.504786 2.429593 3.904346
2025-09-14 0.129373 0.260326 0.485243 0.883714 1.550498 2.593160 4.306862
2025-09-21 0.113203 0.241134 0.471031 0.894587 1.628305 2.810561 4.806766
2025-09-28 0.096073 0.216891 0.444190 0.879726 1.660599 2.956588 5.203340
2025-10-05 0.088028 0.208980 0.445667 0.914603 1.780118 3.252605 5.862050
2025-10-12 0.080632 0.201339 0.447004 0.950079 1.905431 3.570477 6.584700
2025-10-19 0.071779 0.188904 0.437145 0.962994 1.990926 3.826682 7.221817
2025-10-26 0.063110 0.175185 0.422619 0.964772 2.055400 4.050420 7.818203
2025-11-02 0.055235 0.161739 0.406618 0.961347 2.109029 4.257957 8.399479
2025-11-09 0.048725 0.150324 0.393306 0.961661 2.169457 4.481554 9.023600
2025-11-16 0.043412 0.140895 0.383051 0.967093 2.240190 4.728738 9.706055
2025-11-23 0.037971 0.129904 0.367393 0.958424 2.280494 4.919913 10.295306
2025-11-30 0.034537 0.123894 0.362943 0.974626 2.374399 5.221111 11.110826
2025-12-07 0.030201 0.114169 0.347587 0.963220 2.407164 5.402750 11.706142
2025-12-14 0.027368 0.108482 0.341873 0.974272 2.490263 5.690981 12.526705
2025-12-21 0.023808 0.099523 0.325888 0.957807 2.509363 5.848536 13.096001